A geometric interpretation of the permutation pp-value and its application in eQTL studies

Permutation $p$-values have been widely used to assess the significance of linkage or association in genetic studies. However, the application in large-scale studies is hindered by a heavy computational burden. We propose a geometric interpretation of permutation $p$-values, and based on this geometric interpretation, we develop an efficient permutation $p$-value estimation method in the context of regression with binary predictors. An application to a study of gene expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) shows that our method provides reliable estimates of permutation $p$-values while requiring less than 5% of the computational time compared with direct permutations. In fact, our method takes a constant time to estimate permutation $p$-values, no matter how small the $p$-value. Our method enables a study of the relationship between nominal $p$-values and permutation $p$-values in a wide range, and provides a geometric perspective on the effective number of independent tests.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-AOAS298 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Consistent Testing for Recurrent Genomic Aberrations

Genomic aberrations, such as somatic copy number alterations, are frequently observed in tumor tissue. Recurrent aberrations, occurring in the same region across multiple subjects, are of interest because they may highlight genes associated with tumor development or progression. A number of tools have been proposed to assess the statistical significance of recurrent DNA copy number aberrations, but their statistical properties have not been carefully studied. Cyclic shift testing, a permutation procedure using independent random shifts of genomic marker observations on the genome, has been proposed to identify recurrent aberrations, and is potentially useful for a wider variety of purposes, including identifying regions with methylation aberrations or overrepresented in disease association studies. For data following a countable-state Markov model, we prove the asymptotic validity of cyclic shift $p$-values under a fixed sample size regime as the number of observed markers tends to infinity. We illustrate cyclic shift testing for a variety of data types, producing biologically relevant findings for three publicly available datasets.Comment: 35 pages, 7 figure

A statistical framework for testing functional categories in microarray data

Ready access to emerging databases of gene annotation and functional pathways has shifted assessments of differential expression in DNA microarray studies from single genes to groups of genes with shared biological function. This paper takes a critical look at existing methods for assessing the differential expression of a group of genes (functional category), and provides some suggestions for improved performance. We begin by presenting a general framework, in which the set of genes in a functional category is compared to the complementary set of genes on the array. The framework includes tests for overrepresentation of a category within a list of significant genes, and methods that consider continuous measures of differential expression. Existing tests are divided into two classes. Class 1 tests assume gene-specific measures of differential expression are independent, despite overwhelming evidence of positive correlation. Analytic and simulated results are presented that demonstrate Class 1 tests are strongly anti-conservative in practice. Class 2 tests account for gene correlation, typically through array permutation that by construction has proper Type I error control for the induced null. However, both Class 1 and Class 2 tests use a null hypothesis that all genes have the same degree of differential expression. We introduce a more sensible and general (Class 3) null under which the profile of differential expression is the same within the category and complement. Under this broader null, Class 2 tests are shown to be conservative. We propose standard bootstrap methods for testing against the Class 3 null and demonstrate they provide valid Type I error control and more power than array permutation in simulated datasets and real microarray experiments.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/07-AOAS146 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

An Empirical Bayes Approach for Multiple Tissue eQTL Analysis

Expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analyses, which identify genetic markers associated with the expression of a gene, are an important tool in the understanding of diseases in human and other populations. While most eQTL studies to date consider the connection between genetic variation and expression in a single tissue, complex, multi-tissue data sets are now being generated by the GTEx initiative. These data sets have the potential to improve the findings of single tissue analyses by borrowing strength across tissues, and the potential to elucidate the genotypic basis of differences between tissues. In this paper we introduce and study a multivariate hierarchical Bayesian model (MT-eQTL) for multi-tissue eQTL analysis. MT-eQTL directly models the vector of correlations between expression and genotype across tissues. It explicitly captures patterns of variation in the presence or absence of eQTLs, as well as the heterogeneity of effect sizes across tissues. Moreover, the model is applicable to complex designs in which the set of donors can (i) vary from tissue to tissue, and (ii) exhibit incomplete overlap between tissues. The MT-eQTL model is marginally consistent, in the sense that the model for a subset of tissues can be obtained from the full model via marginalization. Fitting of the MT-eQTL model is carried out via empirical Bayes, using an approximate EM algorithm. Inferences concerning eQTL detection and the configuration of eQTLs across tissues are derived from adaptive thresholding of local false discovery rates, and maximum a-posteriori estimation, respectively. We investigate the MT-eQTL model through a simulation study, and rigorously establish the FDR control of the local FDR testing procedure under mild assumptions appropriate for dependent data.Comment: accepted by Biostatistic

Carthage Bottoms Area Odor Study: A Missouri Test Case for Odorant Prioritization as a Prelude to Instrument Based Downwind Odor Monitoring Protocol Development

Past experience with crisis-driven odor investigations has shown that there is an odor impact priority ranking which is definable for virtually every malodor issue; whether from natural or synthetic source. An accurate definition of such odorant priority ranking is, in turn, critical to the development of accurate and objective instrument-based methods for odor assessment and monitoring relative to that source. This paper reports on the results-to-date relative to the Carthage Bottoms Area Odor Study; a test case undertaken by the Missouri DNR to evaluate the concept of odorant prioritization by MDGC-MS-Olfactometry. The ultimate goal of this study was to explore the utility of odorant prioritization as a first step toward the translation of sensory-only odor monitoring protocols to sensory-directed but instrument based alternatives. The Carthage Bottoms Area was selected by the Missouri DNR for this exploratory effort based upon a number of factors: including; (1) an intermittent but long-standing unresolved odor issue with respect to downwind citizenry; (2) a uniquely complex, diverse and densely co-located source industry mix within the combined Bottoms Area; (3) limited past success in point-source differentiation utilizing sensory-only protocols and (4) a past history of cooperation between citizenry, community officials, industry leaders and regulatory agencies in the exploration and implementation of technologies targeting enhanced mutually beneficial co-existance. MDGC-MS-O odorant profile and prioritization results are presented for SPME collections taken near and at-distance downwind as well as reference upwind with respect to the combined Bottoms Area

Two Jupiter-Mass Planets Orbiting HD 154672 and HD 205739

We report the detection of the first two planets from the N2K Doppler planet search program at the Magellan telescopes. The first planet has a mass of M sin i = 4.96 M_Jup and is orbiting the G3 IV star HD154672 with an orbital period of 163.9 days. The second planet is orbiting the F7 V star HD205739 with an orbital period of 279.8 days and has a mass of M sin i = 1.37 M_Jup. Both planets are in eccentric orbits, with eccentricities e = 0.61 and e = 0.27, respectively. Both stars are metal rich and appear to be chromospherically inactive, based on inspection of their Ca II H and K lines. Finally, the best Keplerian model fit to HD205739b shows a trend of 0.0649 m/s/day, suggesting the presence of an additional outer body in that system.Comment: 16 pages, 5 figures, accepted for publication on A

Computational tools for discovery and interpretation of expression quantitative trait loci

Expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analysis is rapidly moving from a cutting-edge concept in genomics to a mature area of investigation, with important connections to genome-wide association studies for human disease, pharmacogenomics and toxicogenomics. Despite the importance of the topic, many investigators must develop their own code or use tools not specifically suited for eQTL analysis. Convenient computational tools are becoming available, but they are not widely publicized, and investigators who are interested in discovery or eQTL, or in using them to interpret genome-wide association study results may have difficulty navigating the available resources. The purpose of this review is to help investigators find appropriate programs for eQTL analysis and interpretation

Estimating Odds Ratios in Genome Scans: An Approximate Conditional Likelihood Approach

In modern whole-genome scans, the use of stringent thresholds to control the genome-wide testing error distorts the estimation process, producing estimated effect sizes that may be on average far greater in magnitude than the true effect sizes. We introduce a method, based on the estimate of genetic effect and its standard error as reported by standard statistical software, to correct for this bias in case-control association studies. Our approach is widely applicable, is far easier to implement than competing approaches, and may often be applied to published studies without access to the original data. We evaluate the performance of our approach via extensive simulations for a range of genetic models, minor allele frequencies, and genetic effect sizes. Compared to the naive estimation procedure, our approach reduces the bias and the mean squared error, especially for modest effect sizes. We also develop a principled method to construct confidence intervals for the genetic effect that acknowledges the conditioning on statistical significance. Our approach is described in the specific context of odds ratios and logistic modeling but is more widely applicable. Application to recently published data sets demonstrates the relevance of our approach to modern genome scans